Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.089110 3.438151 3.816029 4.256423 4.756698 5.308613 5.965352
2025-03-09 2.535989 2.994596 3.526262 4.191551 5.006438 5.977974 7.232805
2025-03-16 2.185035 2.694492 3.315742 4.135811 5.199858 6.547460 8.405201
2025-03-23 2.020544 2.583481 3.299743 4.289290 5.638764 7.440828 10.073685
2025-03-30 1.833775 2.414871 3.180443 4.278820 5.840584 8.022140 11.373203
2025-04-06 1.674121 2.261477 3.059031 4.241771 5.986780 8.524426 12.603527
2025-04-13 1.483532 2.045878 2.828510 4.021109 5.835393 8.564197 13.122451
2025-04-20 1.388249 1.954903 2.763487 4.030358 6.019436 9.117792 14.506660
2025-04-27 1.325292 1.904122 2.750244 4.112248 6.317882 9.874660 16.315733
2025-05-04 1.268263 1.856571 2.736139 4.188435 6.610273 10.647196 18.248649
2025-05-11 1.209702 1.801512 2.704871 4.232042 6.849478 11.350693 20.147032
2025-05-18 1.153265 1.745110 2.666189 4.258178 7.058288 12.018890 22.065478
2025-05-25 1.069928 1.642023 2.547786 4.144516 7.018984 12.249920 23.194789
2025-06-01 1.007451 1.568303 2.471817 4.096867 7.092654 12.697213 24.827422
2025-06-08 0.950077 1.498957 2.397805 4.045573 7.152980 13.123055 26.475764
2025-06-15 0.933462 1.496006 2.435112 4.195794 7.606741 14.371596 30.113420
2025-06-22 0.890899 1.446116 2.387647 4.185711 7.747367 15.000312 32.448926
2025-06-29 0.847610 1.392178 2.329185 4.149617 7.831470 15.518438 34.605907
2025-07-06 0.780313 1.292484 2.182964 3.934474 7.530549 15.175393 34.602296
2025-07-13 0.751196 1.258609 2.153435 3.943494 7.695496 15.873891 37.337442
2025-07-20 0.733998 1.244930 2.159751 4.023342 8.017684 16.964395 41.289427
2025-07-27 0.716955 1.230427 2.163368 4.097624 8.334689 18.081868 45.528170
2025-08-03 0.696755 1.208880 2.152125 4.140138 8.584829 19.070708 49.599300